Archive for June 19th, 2010

June 19, 2010

Sorry Keath, But Bogus Polls Don’t Make Your Candidate Better

by lewwaters

In what will inevitably prove more of an embarrassment than a campaign enhancement, the campaign for Jaime Herrera commissioned a poll on her behalf, obviously designed for her benefit and running with it as if it is representative of the entire 3rd Congressional District. Such actions are truly a sign of desperation on the behalf of her supporters.

Our local paper, the Columbian, which rarely has any positive word for conservative Republicans, ran an article on it recently, initially titled, “Poll says Republicans, Herrera trending in 3rd Congressional race.”

Shortly after the article appeared on line, they re-titled the piece more accurately with Herrera’s pollster says she looks strong in 3rd District congressional race.

Pacific County GOP Chair, Nansen Malin, who tries to act neutral, as party chairs should be prior to the primaries where multiple Republican candidates are vying for the same seat, showed again that she is neither neutral nor objective as she first ran with a short blog post, Good News for Republicans in WA. 03 as if this were an unbiased poll.

The poll, conducted by what I presume to be as reputable polling outfit as any other, Moore Information, strangely seems unavailable on their website.

Oddly enough, asking about links back to the poll for verification and determining the propriety of the poll brought back charges of not complaining of other sites not linking it from Nansen Malin, who maintains, “I am proud to be the first to break the story.”

Also strange was reading at Nansen’s blog a comment from someone named ‘Evan,’ who I must assume is connected in some way to Northwest Digest of, “But part of being a ‘credible’ citizen-journalist, is respecting the anonymity of sources.”

I didn’t realize a poll, whose results are made public and lauded as indicative of one candidate’s popularity, is considered “an anonymous source.”

After all, have we conservatives not complained for years that such polling on the behalf of Democrats and in the mainstream media were not made available to the public for such verification and that renders them meaningless?

Then comes young Keath Huff of Cowlitz County, who was the first county party to issue an endorsement of Jaime Herrera months before the primaries, who chooses to blast David Castillo, the first to enter the 3rd Congressional race long before the announced retirement of Brian Baird, not within 2 hours of the announcement as did Jaime, for questioning the poll.

Yes David, there is a grassroots! Another politician disconnected from the people!

Castillo shares my view on this so-called poll and was quoted in the Columbian article on it,

David Castillo, Herrera’s leading Republican opponent, called the survey “a name ID poll” and told The Columbian, “I take it with a grain of salt.”

“The sample size is too small,” he said. “Where in the district did they poll? The vast majority of voters have no idea there is an election going on.”

With a sampling of only 300 people somewhere within the 3rd Congressional District that is comprised of some 7 counties and about 500,000 registered voters I have a difficult time accepting that .06% is somehow truly representative.

Of those 300, it is claimed 81 prefer Herrera, 24 each prefer David Castillo and David Hedrick and 147 are undecided. The numbers provided still leaves 24 voters unaccounted for as the percentage claimed adds up to 276, not the 300 claimed.

Who wouldn’t question such a poll result and sampling? In fact, Castillo, in my estimation, is being very generous by saying he “takes it with a grain of salt.” I would say it much differently in terms much stronger.

Huff goes on to state, “he showed why the grassroots is having trouble with his candidacy… Arrogance and a disconnect with the grassroots.”

Grassroots Keath? The party establishment is grassroots? The establishment county parties that have prematurely endorsed Herrera, are grassroots? And, bogus polls initiated on behalf of an establishment candidate and promoted by the establishment parties is grassroots? The candidate that proclaimed that since she and her husband rent and drive used cars, they are not “your typical Republican conservatives” is grassroots?

I thought most people grew out of that ‘teenage know it all attitude’ by the time they entered their 30’s, but it doesn’t appear so in Keath Huff’s words.

In the rest of Huff’s rant he comes across as more sour grapes than anything else since David Castillo doesn’t suck up to him and cater to sparsely populated Cowlitz County.

And, of course, he is also one who just so happens to agree with Jaime Herrera’s poor choice in co-sponsoring and twice voting for a measure that would have forced child care centers that accept state funds for low-income families into a public union, such as the SEIU and who sees no problem with her abandoning her party companions in Olympia to join in with Liberal Democrats in raiding the last $229,000,000 from our rainy fund, ostensibly to keep taxes from being raised further, which they were anyways and with the looming budget deficit coming next session, will be again.

As more and more people question this liberal tactic of commissioning a poll an reporting it as objective and blocking any access to the poll itself for verification, this will turn into yet another embarrassment for the Herrera campaign as did her pro-SEIU votes in the legislature.

As for “grassroots,” Keath, you wouldn’t believe how many supporters of Jaime’s have come up to me and thanked me for writing about her involvement with the SEIU bill and waking them up to what poor representation she would bring to the district.

Then again, Keath, since Jaime said that she and her husband have been saving up to buy a house, just which Washington do you think that house they wish to buy is located in? Obviously not the state.