Archive for August 3rd, 2010

August 3, 2010

Hedrick Supporters Prove Even They Don’t Believe The Polling

by lewwaters

David W. Hedrick, candidate for the 3rd Congressional District seat being vacated by Brian Baird is riding high on his ego after spreading his video of the confrontation he had with Baird last, ignoring the second confrontation where he was left with egg on his face.

Somehow, he magically has zoomed into the lead in the race, according to a highly questionable poll by Washington State Political Polls, besting even the establishment candidate, Jaime Herrera. I’m sure this alleged Marines chest is puffed out over this poll.

But, is it a true representation of district? I highly doubt it. And, if you read through comments both here and on the Columbian’s comments section, apparently even his supporters don’t believe it.

The poll results released August 1 show the alleged Marine holding 24%, Jaime Herrera 22% and Castillo only 5%, even though Castillo has made a clean sweep by being endorsed by all 4 major newspapers covering the district that make endorsements.

Hedrick did not gain a single endorsement!

Looking over the Survey Information page we can readily see the unreliability of this poll. They state in part,

“Survey participants are selected from our database of Washington State residents.”

“About 10,000 participants are selected in each district to complete the survey however we experience about a 10 – 15 percent return on those that are selected.”

“While we try to survey only registered voters, some people are able to take the survey that are not registered voters…”

“Our surveys are sent via email, and each survey can be responded to only via our website.”

So, an email survey of pre-selected recipients with a low return that may or may not include non-registered voters. No random results like more reliable legitimate polls such as Rasmussen.

While I’m sure Washington State Political Polls makes every effort to be unbiased, who ensures their database is equitable and unbiased? It can’t be done. It’s too easy for supporters to stack the database, much like we saw being done in 2008 with Ron Paul placing so well in polls, yet not placing anywhere in actual votes by voters.

I find no track record on the past successes of their polls on accurately reflecting voter’s intent in past polls.

But, if there was ever any question on how Hedrick supporters actually view this, all you have to do is look at comments throughout this blog and on the Columbian’s web site on articles and posts covering David Castillo.

If Castillo were really only polling at 5%, would Hedrick supporters be on a full court press smearing him and his family every which way they can? Would they be accusing him of being an “Anchor Baby” and born to illegal immigrant parents as commenter’s have been doing?

Would they be smearing him for being the only 3rd Congressional District candidate invited to speak before the National Doctors Tea Party opposing Obamacare?

No, they would not.

If he truly was only holding a 5% in the polling, they would turn their backs and move on, ignoring such a poor performing candidate.

That they have begun such a full court press against only one candidate, it is only too obvious that they know this is not a true reflection of voter intent in Washington States 3rd Congressional District. They know that Castillo is ready to slaughter the alleged Marine who hides behind claims of “classified” service instead of speaking of even the basics concerning his service, come August 17.

They know that his cries of “keeping my oath” are questionable, what with his bailing out of the Corps sometime after the horrific terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 instead of deploying off to the War on Terror and defending the country.

Oh, he wants you to think he served in such a capacity, but he told the Columbia he enlisted in 1997. He told the Longview Daily News he served 5 years. He was in college in 2002, so he had to have decided to get out sometime after 9/11 and not standing up for the country he says he defended.

He makes noise about authoring a bill to repeal Obamacare. A great sound bite, other than such bills have already been introduced.

The smears coming from his camp proves beyond any shadow of doubt that they remain afraid of Castillo and know they cannot match him on ideas, stature or record.

No one focuses so heavily on the candidate that doesn’t stand a chance, no one!

They only focus so heavily on the one they know is beating them.

Ignore the hot air and smears from Camas and support the real conservative who will actually make a difference, David Castillo, the one a boastful alleged Marine is afraid of.

UPDATE: Apparently, I am not the only one who questions this method of polling. From Washington’s 7th Congressional District, SNOOKERED